San Diego State
San Diego State University · 2026 · Pac-12
San Diego State is 1-1 and ranked 64th in overall efficiency. Their 51st-ranked defense carries them, with an 85th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 61% of offensive plays with a 79th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 39% of plays with a 133rd-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Portland State | Big Sky | — | W 53–20 | +35.0 | 100% | -3.1 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ UCLA | Big Ten | #31 | L 10–28 | -11.7 | 0% | -9.5 | Q2 |
| 3 | vs James Madison | Sun Belt | #75 | Preview | +6.3 | 64% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Toledo | Mid-American | #58 | Preview | -5.8 | 37% | — | Q2 |
| 5 | vs Texas State | Pac-12 | #89 | Preview | +8.8 | 70% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Oregon State | Pac-12 | #83 | Preview | +1.6 | 54% | — | Q3 |
| 7 | vs Fresno State | Pac-12 | #79 | Preview | +6.5 | 65% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | @ Colorado State | Pac-12 | #97 | Preview | +4.7 | 61% | — | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Washington State | Pac-12 | #63 | Preview | +2.7 | 56% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Utah State | Pac-12 | #92 | Preview | +9.5 | 71% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Boise State | Pac-12 | #32 | Preview | -11.4 | 25% | — | Q2 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on San Diego State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 43rd · Finishing 91st
Field position 118th · Finishing 41st
2.63 points per drive on offense, 1.92 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 36.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(30) | 33% / 67% | 43% | 5.0 |
| Q2(28) | 43% / 57% | 36% | 6.1 |
| Q3(26) | 35% / 65% | 38% | 3.6 |
| Q4(33) | 33% / 67% | 39% | 4.6 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(18) | 10.5 | 39% | 6.3 |
| 2nd(14) | 8.9 | 36% | 3.4 |
| 3rd(8) | 8.9 | 25% | 4.6 |
| 4th(2) | 2.0 | 0% | -4.0 |
| All (42) | — | 33% | 4.5 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(34) | 9.0 | 35% | 3.9 |
| 2nd(25) | 7.3 | 52% | 7.2 |
| 3rd(15) | 5.2 | 40% | 3.7 |
| 4th(1) | 1.0 | 100% | 7.0 |
| All (75) | — | 43% | 5.0 |
San Diego State, all games.